Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone Jr. holds a commanding position in the NJ-06 House race due to the district’s D+5 partisan voter index, his nearly four-decade tenure, and consistent reelection margins in a reliably Democratic-leaning area spanning parts of Middlesex and Monmouth counties. Pallone secured renomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with 65.7% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig advanced unopposed. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, significant health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,667 交易量
$28,667 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
5%
$28,667 交易量
$28,667 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$9,124 交易量
95%
共和黨
$19,543 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone Jr. holds a commanding position in the NJ-06 House race due to the district’s D+5 partisan voter index, his nearly four-decade tenure, and consistent reelection margins in a reliably Democratic-leaning area spanning parts of Middlesex and Monmouth counties. Pallone secured renomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with 65.7% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig advanced unopposed. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, significant health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$28,667結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone Jr. holds a commanding position in the NJ-06 House race due to the district’s D+5 partisan voter index, his nearly four-decade tenure, and consistent reelection margins in a reliably Democratic-leaning area spanning parts of Middlesex and Monmouth counties. Pallone secured renomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with 65.7% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig advanced unopposed. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, significant health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,667結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Frank Pallone Jr. holds a commanding position in the NJ-06 House race due to the district’s D+5 partisan voter index, his nearly four-decade tenure, and consistent reelection margins in a reliably Democratic-leaning area spanning parts of Middlesex and Monmouth counties. Pallone secured renomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with 65.7% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig advanced unopposed. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, significant health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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