Recent official forecasts from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global models indicate a daily minimum near 25–27°C for September 20, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate southeasterly flow off the South China Sea, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 70–85%. Cloud cover and possible localized thunderstorms could enhance nighttime radiative cooling or trap heat, creating the narrow spread between sub-23°C and mid-20s outcomes that traders are pricing closely. Historical September minima average 24°C, while the absence of strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon landfalls keeps extremes below 22°C or above 28°C less likely unless model runs shift with updated moisture or wind data expected in the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日深圳最低溫度?
22°C或以下 95%
32°C 或以上 86%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
22°C或以下
95%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
22%
26°C
27%
27°C
30%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C 或以上
86%
22°C或以下 95%
32°C 或以上 86%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
22°C或以下
95%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
22%
26°C
27%
27°C
30%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C 或以上
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global models indicate a daily minimum near 25–27°C for September 20, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate southeasterly flow off the South China Sea, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 70–85%. Cloud cover and possible localized thunderstorms could enhance nighttime radiative cooling or trap heat, creating the narrow spread between sub-23°C and mid-20s outcomes that traders are pricing closely. Historical September minima average 24°C, while the absence of strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon landfalls keeps extremes below 22°C or above 28°C less likely unless model runs shift with updated moisture or wind data expected in the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions