Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance points to a 24°C minimum in Incheon on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited amid high humidity and weak winds typical of late-summer monsoon influences. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value due to variable cloud timing and precipitation, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 23–25°C. Historical August climatology for the region features overnight lows averaging near 23°C, with rain events often elevating minima by suppressing temperature drops. Traders will monitor updated KMA three-hourly forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日首爾(仁川)最低溫度?
24°C 56%
23°C 31%
25°C 27%
26°C 11%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
11%
23°C
31%
24°C
34%
25°C
27%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
1%
24°C 56%
23°C 31%
25°C 27%
26°C 11%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
11%
23°C
31%
24°C
34%
25°C
27%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance points to a 24°C minimum in Incheon on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited amid high humidity and weak winds typical of late-summer monsoon influences. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value due to variable cloud timing and precipitation, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 23–25°C. Historical August climatology for the region features overnight lows averaging near 23°C, with rain events often elevating minima by suppressing temperature drops. Traders will monitor updated KMA three-hourly forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions