Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 79–82°F for Miami on August 16, aligning with the market's leading 80–83°F bins amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent easterly flow off the Atlantic, combined with high dew points near 75–77°F and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, supports these readings near the August climatological average low of 80°F. Minor differentiation among close outcomes stems from forecast variations in cloud cover, which reduces nocturnal cooling, versus any localized sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflow that could briefly enhance mixing or allow slight drops. With no tropical systems or strong fronts expected, traders weigh the narrow range of official guidance against historical precedent for Miami's humid nights.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日邁阿密的最低溫度?
82-83°F 41%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 22%
86-87°F 11%
73°F或以下
<1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 41%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 22%
86-87°F 11%
73°F或以下
<1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 79–82°F for Miami on August 16, aligning with the market's leading 80–83°F bins amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent easterly flow off the Atlantic, combined with high dew points near 75–77°F and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, supports these readings near the August climatological average low of 80°F. Minor differentiation among close outcomes stems from forecast variations in cloud cover, which reduces nocturnal cooling, versus any localized sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflow that could briefly enhance mixing or allow slight drops. With no tropical systems or strong fronts expected, traders weigh the narrow range of official guidance against historical precedent for Miami's humid nights.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions