Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows of 16–17°C in London on August 16 as the most probable range, following several days of anomalous daytime heat that has delayed nocturnal cooling. Persistent high pressure and light winds have limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect further supports minima near or above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Traders have priced 17°C highest at 45.5% because latest model runs show only modest relief from the current warm anomaly, with limited scope for sub-16°C readings absent stronger northerly flow. Updated NWP guidance and Met Office briefings on the 15th remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月16日倫敦的最低溫度？
17°C 40%
18°C 26%
16°C 16%
19°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
40%
18°C
26%
19°C
14%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
17°C 40%
18°C 26%
16°C 16%
19°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
14°C或以下
$52 交易量
2%
15°C
$288 交易量
4%
16°C
$329 交易量
16%
17°C
$1,460 交易量
40%
18°C
$795 交易量
26%
19°C
$509 交易量
14%
20°C
$25 交易量
1%
21°C
$89 交易量
1%
22°C
$89 交易量
<1%
23°C
$99 交易量
<1%
24°C或以上
$99 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows of 16–17°C in London on August 16 as the most probable range, following several days of anomalous daytime heat that has delayed nocturnal cooling. Persistent high pressure and light winds have limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect further supports minima near or above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Traders have priced 17°C highest at 45.5% because latest model runs show only modest relief from the current warm anomaly, with limited scope for sub-16°C readings absent stronger northerly flow. Updated NWP guidance and Met Office briefings on the 15th remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
交易量
$3,833結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows of 16–17°C in London on August 16 as the most probable range, following several days of anomalous daytime heat that has delayed nocturnal cooling. Persistent high pressure and light winds have limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect further supports minima near or above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Traders have priced 17°C highest at 45.5% because latest model runs show only modest relief from the current warm anomaly, with limited scope for sub-16°C readings absent stronger northerly flow. Updated NWP guidance and Met Office briefings on the 15th remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,833結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETRecent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows of 16–17°C in London on August 16 as the most probable range, following several days of anomalous daytime heat that has delayed nocturnal cooling. Persistent high pressure and light winds have limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect further supports minima near or above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Traders have priced 17°C highest at 45.5% because latest model runs show only modest relief from the current warm anomaly, with limited scope for sub-16°C readings absent stronger northerly flow. Updated NWP guidance and Met Office briefings on the 15th remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions