Recent short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on August 16 most likely in the 27–28°C range, with market-implied odds reflecting close consensus around these values amid typical late-summer variability. Persistent high humidity, possible cloud cover from monsoon remnants, and potential for scattered afternoon showers could cap peak readings below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. El Niño conditions are contributing to regionally elevated baseline warmth, yet model differences in steering patterns and diurnal heating introduce enough uncertainty to spread probability across adjacent thresholds. Updated guidance from official agencies on August 15 will likely refine the outcome as the event nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日釜山的最高溫度？
8月16日釜山的最高溫度？
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
24°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
20%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
13%
30°C
4%
31°C或以上
5%
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
24°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
21°C or below
$22 交易量
<1%
22°C
$18 交易量
<1%
23°C
$9 交易量
<1%
24°C
$37 交易量
8%
25°C
$47 交易量
8%
26°C
$16 交易量
20%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$14 交易量
27%
29°C
$16 交易量
13%
30°C
$24 交易量
4%
31°C或以上
$10 交易量
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on August 16 most likely in the 27–28°C range, with market-implied odds reflecting close consensus around these values amid typical late-summer variability. Persistent high humidity, possible cloud cover from monsoon remnants, and potential for scattered afternoon showers could cap peak readings below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. El Niño conditions are contributing to regionally elevated baseline warmth, yet model differences in steering patterns and diurnal heating introduce enough uncertainty to spread probability across adjacent thresholds. Updated guidance from official agencies on August 15 will likely refine the outcome as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$213結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on August 16 most likely in the 27–28°C range, with market-implied odds reflecting close consensus around these values amid typical late-summer variability. Persistent high humidity, possible cloud cover from monsoon remnants, and potential for scattered afternoon showers could cap peak readings below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. El Niño conditions are contributing to regionally elevated baseline warmth, yet model differences in steering patterns and diurnal heating introduce enough uncertainty to spread probability across adjacent thresholds. Updated guidance from official agencies on August 15 will likely refine the outcome as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$213結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on August 16 most likely in the 27–28°C range, with market-implied odds reflecting close consensus around these values amid typical late-summer variability. Persistent high humidity, possible cloud cover from monsoon remnants, and potential for scattered afternoon showers could cap peak readings below seasonal averages near 30–31°C. El Niño conditions are contributing to regionally elevated baseline warmth, yet model differences in steering patterns and diurnal heating introduce enough uncertainty to spread probability across adjacent thresholds. Updated guidance from official agencies on August 15 will likely refine the outcome as the event nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions