Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Qingdao near 30–32°C for August 16 under late-summer marine conditions, with northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating peaks. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of the Yellow Sea region limit daytime warming, while variable cloudiness and potential light rain introduce uncertainty in exact highs. These factors explain the closely matched market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can alter the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日青島氣溫最高？
8月16日青島氣溫最高？
32°C 36%
31°C 25%
33°C 25%
36°C或更高 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
12%
31°C
25%
32°C
36%
33°C
25%
34°C
16%
35°C
10%
36°C或更高
16%
32°C 36%
31°C 25%
33°C 25%
36°C或更高 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
26°C或以下
$10 交易量
<1%
27°C
$10 交易量
3%
28°C
$10 交易量
3%
29°C
$32 交易量
10%
30°C
$32 交易量
12%
31°C
$0 交易量
25%
32°C
$0 交易量
36%
33°C
$26 交易量
25%
34°C
$0 交易量
16%
35°C
$21 交易量
10%
36°C或更高
$64 交易量
16%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Qingdao near 30–32°C for August 16 under late-summer marine conditions, with northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating peaks. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of the Yellow Sea region limit daytime warming, while variable cloudiness and potential light rain introduce uncertainty in exact highs. These factors explain the closely matched market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can alter the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$204結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Qingdao near 30–32°C for August 16 under late-summer marine conditions, with northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating peaks. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of the Yellow Sea region limit daytime warming, while variable cloudiness and potential light rain introduce uncertainty in exact highs. These factors explain the closely matched market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can alter the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$204結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Qingdao near 30–32°C for August 16 under late-summer marine conditions, with northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating peaks. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of the Yellow Sea region limit daytime warming, while variable cloudiness and potential light rain introduce uncertainty in exact highs. These factors explain the closely matched market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can alter the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services will refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions