Recent ensemble forecasts from major European models indicate a moderating maritime airflow over the Netherlands, positioning Amsterdam’s August 16 maximum near the historical late-summer mean of 21–23 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22 °C (36 %) and 23 °C (30.5 %). A transient ridge of high pressure that produced mid-30 °C readings earlier in the week is yielding to cooler North Sea breezes and increasing cloud cover, trimming daytime heating by several degrees. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of frontal passage creates the observed 12.5 % probability on 24 °C and lower odds for outliers, while climatological variance of roughly ±2 °C around the August average keeps the distribution centered on these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月16日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
22°C 36%
23°C 31%
24°C 13%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
36%
23°C
31%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
22°C 36%
23°C 31%
24°C 13%
21°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
19°C或以下
$10 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
4%
21°C
$0 交易量
9%
22°C
$55 交易量
36%
23°C
$7 交易量
31%
24°C
$0 交易量
13%
25°C
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$10 交易量
2%
27°C
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$20 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major European models indicate a moderating maritime airflow over the Netherlands, positioning Amsterdam’s August 16 maximum near the historical late-summer mean of 21–23 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22 °C (36 %) and 23 °C (30.5 %). A transient ridge of high pressure that produced mid-30 °C readings earlier in the week is yielding to cooler North Sea breezes and increasing cloud cover, trimming daytime heating by several degrees. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of frontal passage creates the observed 12.5 % probability on 24 °C and lower odds for outliers, while climatological variance of roughly ±2 °C around the August average keeps the distribution centered on these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$127結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major European models indicate a moderating maritime airflow over the Netherlands, positioning Amsterdam’s August 16 maximum near the historical late-summer mean of 21–23 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22 °C (36 %) and 23 °C (30.5 %). A transient ridge of high pressure that produced mid-30 °C readings earlier in the week is yielding to cooler North Sea breezes and increasing cloud cover, trimming daytime heating by several degrees. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of frontal passage creates the observed 12.5 % probability on 24 °C and lower odds for outliers, while climatological variance of roughly ±2 °C around the August average keeps the distribution centered on these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$127結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major European models indicate a moderating maritime airflow over the Netherlands, positioning Amsterdam’s August 16 maximum near the historical late-summer mean of 21–23 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22 °C (36 %) and 23 °C (30.5 %). A transient ridge of high pressure that produced mid-30 °C readings earlier in the week is yielding to cooler North Sea breezes and increasing cloud cover, trimming daytime heating by several degrees. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of frontal passage creates the observed 12.5 % probability on 24 °C and lower odds for outliers, while climatological variance of roughly ±2 °C around the August average keeps the distribution centered on these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions