Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a peak heatwave day on August 13 with highs potentially reaching 34–37°C across southeast England under dominant high pressure and southerly flows tapping warmer European air, followed by modest cooling on August 14 to around 31–34°C. This positions 32–33°C as the market consensus, reflecting model guidance for London’s urban maximum under mostly sunny conditions with limited overnight recovery. Key variables include exact high-pressure positioning, any subtle frontal influences, and local measurement site differences that could shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月14日倫敦的最高溫度？
32°C 35%
33°C 27%
34°C 16%
31°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
29°C or below
4%
30°C
11%
31°C
16%
32°C
35%
33°C
27%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 27%
34°C 16%
31°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
29°C or below
$170 交易量
4%
30°C
$19 交易量
11%
31°C
$0 交易量
16%
32°C
$186 交易量
35%
33°C
$1 交易量
27%
34°C
$1 交易量
16%
35°C
$1 交易量
4%
36°C
$17 交易量
1%
37°C
$12 交易量
1%
38°C
$12 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$12 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a peak heatwave day on August 13 with highs potentially reaching 34–37°C across southeast England under dominant high pressure and southerly flows tapping warmer European air, followed by modest cooling on August 14 to around 31–34°C. This positions 32–33°C as the market consensus, reflecting model guidance for London’s urban maximum under mostly sunny conditions with limited overnight recovery. Key variables include exact high-pressure positioning, any subtle frontal influences, and local measurement site differences that could shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$431結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a peak heatwave day on August 13 with highs potentially reaching 34–37°C across southeast England under dominant high pressure and southerly flows tapping warmer European air, followed by modest cooling on August 14 to around 31–34°C. This positions 32–33°C as the market consensus, reflecting model guidance for London’s urban maximum under mostly sunny conditions with limited overnight recovery. Key variables include exact high-pressure positioning, any subtle frontal influences, and local measurement site differences that could shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$431結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a peak heatwave day on August 13 with highs potentially reaching 34–37°C across southeast England under dominant high pressure and southerly flows tapping warmer European air, followed by modest cooling on August 14 to around 31–34°C. This positions 32–33°C as the market consensus, reflecting model guidance for London’s urban maximum under mostly sunny conditions with limited overnight recovery. Key variables include exact high-pressure positioning, any subtle frontal influences, and local measurement site differences that could shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive further adjustments as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions