**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 12 because multiple official forecasts place the expected high between 28 °C and 33 °C.** August climatology for the Shandong capital shows typical afternoon peaks of 30–32 °C, and current model guidance from regional meteorological services aligns with this baseline despite light-rain scenarios and moderate humidity. The implied probability near 100 % reflects both the strong seasonal signal and the narrow uncertainty range in short-term temperature outlooks. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or rapid convective cooling capable of suppressing the maximum below 26 °C, an outcome that remains outside current ensemble consensus and would represent a significant departure from observed conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日濟南氣溫最高？
8月12日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C or higher 99.9%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$36,401 交易量
$36,401 交易量
2026-08-12
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.9%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$36,401 交易量
$36,401 交易量
2026-08-12
16°C or below
$3,273 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,774 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,749 交易量
<1%
19°C
$3,338 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,221 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,855 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,347 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,495 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,927 交易量
<1%
25°C
$5,366 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$5,058 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 12 because multiple official forecasts place the expected high between 28 °C and 33 °C.** August climatology for the Shandong capital shows typical afternoon peaks of 30–32 °C, and current model guidance from regional meteorological services aligns with this baseline despite light-rain scenarios and moderate humidity. The implied probability near 100 % reflects both the strong seasonal signal and the narrow uncertainty range in short-term temperature outlooks. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or rapid convective cooling capable of suppressing the maximum below 26 °C, an outcome that remains outside current ensemble consensus and would represent a significant departure from observed conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$36,401結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 12 because multiple official forecasts place the expected high between 28 °C and 33 °C.** August climatology for the Shandong capital shows typical afternoon peaks of 30–32 °C, and current model guidance from regional meteorological services aligns with this baseline despite light-rain scenarios and moderate humidity. The implied probability near 100 % reflects both the strong seasonal signal and the narrow uncertainty range in short-term temperature outlooks. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or rapid convective cooling capable of suppressing the maximum below 26 °C, an outcome that remains outside current ensemble consensus and would represent a significant departure from observed conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,401結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 12 because multiple official forecasts place the expected high between 28 °C and 33 °C.** August climatology for the Shandong capital shows typical afternoon peaks of 30–32 °C, and current model guidance from regional meteorological services aligns with this baseline despite light-rain scenarios and moderate humidity. The implied probability near 100 % reflects both the strong seasonal signal and the narrow uncertainty range in short-term temperature outlooks. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or rapid convective cooling capable of suppressing the maximum below 26 °C, an outcome that remains outside current ensemble consensus and would represent a significant departure from observed conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions