Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection across eastern China continue to support maximum temperatures in Jinan well above the 26°C threshold on August 13, consistent with August climatology where average highs range 29–32°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration model runs and regional forecasts indicate only modest cooling from isolated showers or thunderstorms, keeping daily peaks near or above 27–30°C. This scientific consensus underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. A stronger-than-expected cold front or prolonged heavy rainfall could lower readings toward 25°C, though current guidance shows limited potential for such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日濟南氣溫最高？
8月13日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C or higher 96%
25°C 2%
20°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
25°C 2%
20°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
16°C or below
$110 交易量
<1%
17°C
$110 交易量
<1%
18°C
$110 交易量
<1%
19°C
$260 交易量
<1%
20°C
$403 交易量
1%
21°C
$132 交易量
<1%
22°C
$132 交易量
<1%
23°C
$382 交易量
<1%
24°C
$382 交易量
<1%
25°C
$523 交易量
2%
26°C or higher
$874 交易量
96%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection across eastern China continue to support maximum temperatures in Jinan well above the 26°C threshold on August 13, consistent with August climatology where average highs range 29–32°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration model runs and regional forecasts indicate only modest cooling from isolated showers or thunderstorms, keeping daily peaks near or above 27–30°C. This scientific consensus underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. A stronger-than-expected cold front or prolonged heavy rainfall could lower readings toward 25°C, though current guidance shows limited potential for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$3,418結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection across eastern China continue to support maximum temperatures in Jinan well above the 26°C threshold on August 13, consistent with August climatology where average highs range 29–32°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration model runs and regional forecasts indicate only modest cooling from isolated showers or thunderstorms, keeping daily peaks near or above 27–30°C. This scientific consensus underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. A stronger-than-expected cold front or prolonged heavy rainfall could lower readings toward 25°C, though current guidance shows limited potential for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,418結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETPersistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection across eastern China continue to support maximum temperatures in Jinan well above the 26°C threshold on August 13, consistent with August climatology where average highs range 29–32°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration model runs and regional forecasts indicate only modest cooling from isolated showers or thunderstorms, keeping daily peaks near or above 27–30°C. This scientific consensus underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. A stronger-than-expected cold front or prolonged heavy rainfall could lower readings toward 25°C, though current guidance shows limited potential for such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions