Current forecasts from official sources like the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 29°C in Beijing on August 13, 2026, accompanied by thunderstorms that could suppress peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–30°C because model runs differ on storm timing and intensity—earlier or heavier precipitation favors the lower end, while clearer intervals allow brief warming to 30°C. Humidity near 70–80% and typical August steering patterns further limit extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C or higher below 5%. Updated model guidance and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日北京最高溫度？
8月13日北京最高溫度？
29°C 30%
28°C 26%
30°C 20%
27°C 9%
最新
$38,098 交易量
最新
$38,098 交易量
2026-08-13
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
26%
29°C
30%
30°C
20%
31°C
8%
32°C或以上
4%
29°C 30%
28°C 26%
30°C 20%
27°C 9%
最新
$38,098 交易量
最新
$38,098 交易量
2026-08-13
22°C或以下
$542 交易量
<1%
23°C
$880 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,834 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,954 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,510 交易量
4%
27°C
$2,362 交易量
9%
28°C
$3,528 交易量
26%
29°C
$2,766 交易量
30%
30°C
$2,005 交易量
20%
31°C
$3,649 交易量
8%
32°C或以上
$15,068 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official sources like the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 29°C in Beijing on August 13, 2026, accompanied by thunderstorms that could suppress peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–30°C because model runs differ on storm timing and intensity—earlier or heavier precipitation favors the lower end, while clearer intervals allow brief warming to 30°C. Humidity near 70–80% and typical August steering patterns further limit extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C or higher below 5%. Updated model guidance and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$38,098結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official sources like the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 29°C in Beijing on August 13, 2026, accompanied by thunderstorms that could suppress peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–30°C because model runs differ on storm timing and intensity—earlier or heavier precipitation favors the lower end, while clearer intervals allow brief warming to 30°C. Humidity near 70–80% and typical August steering patterns further limit extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C or higher below 5%. Updated model guidance and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,098結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent forecasts from official sources like the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 29°C in Beijing on August 13, 2026, accompanied by thunderstorms that could suppress peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–30°C because model runs differ on storm timing and intensity—earlier or heavier precipitation favors the lower end, while clearer intervals allow brief warming to 30°C. Humidity near 70–80% and typical August steering patterns further limit extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C or higher below 5%. Updated model guidance and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions