Current forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a high-pressure system dominating the region through mid-August, supporting daytime highs centered on 31–33°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 14. Ensemble runs from global models show modest uncertainty tied to potential moisture influx from the East China Sea and localized urban heat effects, keeping the 32°C outcome at the forefront of trader positioning. Recent model updates have narrowed the range slightly, with limited signals for stronger cooling or heat spikes that would favor outliers below 30°C or above 34°C. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour maximum readings at the designated station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
32°C 39%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
30°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
39%
33°C
22%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 39%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
30°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
39%
33°C
22%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a high-pressure system dominating the region through mid-August, supporting daytime highs centered on 31–33°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 14. Ensemble runs from global models show modest uncertainty tied to potential moisture influx from the East China Sea and localized urban heat effects, keeping the 32°C outcome at the forefront of trader positioning. Recent model updates have narrowed the range slightly, with limited signals for stronger cooling or heat spikes that would favor outliers below 30°C or above 34°C. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour maximum readings at the designated station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions