Recent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a high temperature in Central Park between 84–89°F on August 14, with ensemble guidance clustering in the mid-to-upper 80s—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 83°F. Persistent warmth from a building ridge and light southwesterly flow has supported this outlook, while modest moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce small downside risk. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 86–87°F (42.5%) and 88–89°F (31.0%) bins. Official NWS observations and any last-minute model updates tomorrow morning will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日紐約市的最高溫度？
8月14日紐約市的最高溫度？
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 12%
90-91°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 12%
90-91°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
81°F or below
$30 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$295 交易量
6%
84-85°F
$413 交易量
12%
86-87°F
$274 交易量
44%
88-89°F
$163 交易量
33%
90-91°F
$116 交易量
8%
92-93°F
$319 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$310 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$241 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$280 交易量
<1%
100°F or higher
$596 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a high temperature in Central Park between 84–89°F on August 14, with ensemble guidance clustering in the mid-to-upper 80s—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 83°F. Persistent warmth from a building ridge and light southwesterly flow has supported this outlook, while modest moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce small downside risk. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 86–87°F (42.5%) and 88–89°F (31.0%) bins. Official NWS observations and any last-minute model updates tomorrow morning will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$3,036結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a high temperature in Central Park between 84–89°F on August 14, with ensemble guidance clustering in the mid-to-upper 80s—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 83°F. Persistent warmth from a building ridge and light southwesterly flow has supported this outlook, while modest moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce small downside risk. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 86–87°F (42.5%) and 88–89°F (31.0%) bins. Official NWS observations and any last-minute model updates tomorrow morning will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,036結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a high temperature in Central Park between 84–89°F on August 14, with ensemble guidance clustering in the mid-to-upper 80s—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 83°F. Persistent warmth from a building ridge and light southwesterly flow has supported this outlook, while modest moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce small downside risk. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 86–87°F (42.5%) and 88–89°F (31.0%) bins. Official NWS observations and any last-minute model updates tomorrow morning will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions