Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou point to a daily maximum temperature centered around 36°C on August 13, consistent with the market-implied probability of 43.5% for that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and scattered thunderstorms typical of the East Asian monsoon, often moderate or briefly elevate peaks through cloud cover and precipitation timing. Regional models show consensus for highs in the 35–37°C range, with urban heat island effects in the city potentially supporting the upper end of that band. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this week, though rapid changes in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the final observed maximum before markets resolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日廣州最高溫度？
8月13日廣州最高溫度？
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 18%
34°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
8%
35°C
23%
36°C
45%
37°C
18%
38°C
4%
39°C或以上
1%
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 18%
34°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C或以下
$464 交易量
<1%
30°C
$221 交易量
<1%
31°C
$210 交易量
<1%
32°C
$561 交易量
1%
33°C
$345 交易量
3%
34°C
$320 交易量
8%
35°C
$233 交易量
23%
36°C
$713 交易量
45%
37°C
$831 交易量
18%
38°C
$385 交易量
4%
39°C或以上
$223 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou point to a daily maximum temperature centered around 36°C on August 13, consistent with the market-implied probability of 43.5% for that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and scattered thunderstorms typical of the East Asian monsoon, often moderate or briefly elevate peaks through cloud cover and precipitation timing. Regional models show consensus for highs in the 35–37°C range, with urban heat island effects in the city potentially supporting the upper end of that band. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this week, though rapid changes in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the final observed maximum before markets resolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$4,477結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou point to a daily maximum temperature centered around 36°C on August 13, consistent with the market-implied probability of 43.5% for that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and scattered thunderstorms typical of the East Asian monsoon, often moderate or briefly elevate peaks through cloud cover and precipitation timing. Regional models show consensus for highs in the 35–37°C range, with urban heat island effects in the city potentially supporting the upper end of that band. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this week, though rapid changes in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the final observed maximum before markets resolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,477結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou point to a daily maximum temperature centered around 36°C on August 13, consistent with the market-implied probability of 43.5% for that outcome. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and scattered thunderstorms typical of the East Asian monsoon, often moderate or briefly elevate peaks through cloud cover and precipitation timing. Regional models show consensus for highs in the 35–37°C range, with urban heat island effects in the city potentially supporting the upper end of that band. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context for the elevated readings expected this week, though rapid changes in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the final observed maximum before markets resolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions