Recent high-pressure dominance and southeasterly flow are advecting warmer continental air into the Netherlands ahead of the fifth heatwave of 2026, with KNMI forecasting a 33°C maximum for Amsterdam on August 13 under mostly clear skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and other models clusters around 32–34°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in exact advection strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high cloud that could trim peak heating by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on the official Schiphol station reading; traders assign the highest implied probability to 33°C because it aligns with the central tendency of current deterministic and probabilistic outputs. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月13日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
33°C 36%
32°C 30%
34°C 22%
35°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
30%
33°C
36%
34°C
22%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C或以上
1%
33°C 36%
32°C 30%
34°C 22%
35°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
27°C或以下
$665 交易量
<1%
28°C
$57 交易量
1%
29°C
$29 交易量
1%
30°C
$174 交易量
2%
31°C
$375 交易量
5%
32°C
$381 交易量
30%
33°C
$776 交易量
36%
34°C
$467 交易量
22%
35°C
$154 交易量
6%
36°C
$39 交易量
2%
37°C或以上
$29 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance and southeasterly flow are advecting warmer continental air into the Netherlands ahead of the fifth heatwave of 2026, with KNMI forecasting a 33°C maximum for Amsterdam on August 13 under mostly clear skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and other models clusters around 32–34°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in exact advection strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high cloud that could trim peak heating by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on the official Schiphol station reading; traders assign the highest implied probability to 33°C because it aligns with the central tendency of current deterministic and probabilistic outputs. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,147結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance and southeasterly flow are advecting warmer continental air into the Netherlands ahead of the fifth heatwave of 2026, with KNMI forecasting a 33°C maximum for Amsterdam on August 13 under mostly clear skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and other models clusters around 32–34°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in exact advection strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high cloud that could trim peak heating by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on the official Schiphol station reading; traders assign the highest implied probability to 33°C because it aligns with the central tendency of current deterministic and probabilistic outputs. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,147結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETRecent high-pressure dominance and southeasterly flow are advecting warmer continental air into the Netherlands ahead of the fifth heatwave of 2026, with KNMI forecasting a 33°C maximum for Amsterdam on August 13 under mostly clear skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and other models clusters around 32–34°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in exact advection strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high cloud that could trim peak heating by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on the official Schiphol station reading; traders assign the highest implied probability to 33°C because it aligns with the central tendency of current deterministic and probabilistic outputs. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions