**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature (overnight minimum) in NYC on August 13, 2026, centers on 70–75°F bins, which together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting consensus around typical late-summer nocturnal conditions.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate a warm, humid pattern with highs near 85–87°F and overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, supported by recent observations of 70–76°F minima. Possible scattered showers or thunderstorms introduce minor cooling variability through cloud cover that limits radiational cooling, while urban heat island effects and proximity to the Atlantic moderate extremes. The close spread among the top three outcomes (74–75°F at 27.5%, 72–73°F at 24.5%, 70–71°F at 20.0%) stems from forecast uncertainty in exact dew points, wind speeds, and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by a few degrees. This aligns with climatological August lows averaging ~70°F and the broader seasonal signal favoring above-normal warmth without disruptive cold-air advection. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period will be the key catalyst for any shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月13日紐約市的最低溫度？
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 21%
76-77°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
華氏61度或以下
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
2%
華氏80度或以上
4%
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 32%
70-71°F 21%
76-77°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
華氏61度或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
6%
70-71°F
$55 交易量
21%
72-73°F
$21 交易量
37%
74-75°F
$186 交易量
32%
76-77°F
$15 交易量
13%
78-79°F
$10 交易量
2%
華氏80度或以上
$12 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature (overnight minimum) in NYC on August 13, 2026, centers on 70–75°F bins, which together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting consensus around typical late-summer nocturnal conditions.**
National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate a warm, humid pattern with highs near 85–87°F and overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, supported by recent observations of 70–76°F minima. Possible scattered showers or thunderstorms introduce minor cooling variability through cloud cover that limits radiational cooling, while urban heat island effects and proximity to the Atlantic moderate extremes.
The close spread among the top three outcomes (74–75°F at 27.5%, 72–73°F at 24.5%, 70–71°F at 20.0%) stems from forecast uncertainty in exact dew points, wind speeds, and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by a few degrees. This aligns with climatological August lows averaging ~70°F and the broader seasonal signal favoring above-normal warmth without disruptive cold-air advection. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period will be the key catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$300結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature (overnight minimum) in NYC on August 13, 2026, centers on 70–75°F bins, which together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting consensus around typical late-summer nocturnal conditions.**
National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate a warm, humid pattern with highs near 85–87°F and overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, supported by recent observations of 70–76°F minima. Possible scattered showers or thunderstorms introduce minor cooling variability through cloud cover that limits radiational cooling, while urban heat island effects and proximity to the Atlantic moderate extremes.
The close spread among the top three outcomes (74–75°F at 27.5%, 72–73°F at 24.5%, 70–71°F at 20.0%) stems from forecast uncertainty in exact dew points, wind speeds, and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by a few degrees. This aligns with climatological August lows averaging ~70°F and the broader seasonal signal favoring above-normal warmth without disruptive cold-air advection. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period will be the key catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$300結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature (overnight minimum) in NYC on August 13, 2026, centers on 70–75°F bins, which together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting consensus around typical late-summer nocturnal conditions.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate a warm, humid pattern with highs near 85–87°F and overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s, supported by recent observations of 70–76°F minima. Possible scattered showers or thunderstorms introduce minor cooling variability through cloud cover that limits radiational cooling, while urban heat island effects and proximity to the Atlantic moderate extremes. The close spread among the top three outcomes (74–75°F at 27.5%, 72–73°F at 24.5%, 70–71°F at 20.0%) stems from forecast uncertainty in exact dew points, wind speeds, and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by a few degrees. This aligns with climatological August lows averaging ~70°F and the broader seasonal signal favoring above-normal warmth without disruptive cold-air advection. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period will be the key catalyst for any shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions