Trader consensus for NYC's lowest temperature on August 12 centers on 72–75°F because National Weather Service and model guidance show a persistent warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F suppressing nighttime radiational cooling. Southerly flow, elevated cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and the urban heat island effect keep minimums well above the early-August Central Park climatological average of 68–70°F. The near-even split between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins reflects minor differences in forecast wind speeds and timing of any partial clearing, while lower-probability outcomes would require stronger northerly advection or clearer skies than current guidance supports. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月12日紐約市的最低溫度？
72-73°F 47%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 4%
70-71°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
華氏82度或以上
<1%
72-73°F 47%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 4%
70-71°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
63°F或以下
$430 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$30 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$536 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$185 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$662 交易量
4%
72-73°F
$615 交易量
47%
74-75°F
$995 交易量
45%
76-77°F
$63 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$824 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$2,118 交易量
<1%
華氏82度或以上
$678 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for NYC's lowest temperature on August 12 centers on 72–75°F because National Weather Service and model guidance show a persistent warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F suppressing nighttime radiational cooling. Southerly flow, elevated cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and the urban heat island effect keep minimums well above the early-August Central Park climatological average of 68–70°F. The near-even split between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins reflects minor differences in forecast wind speeds and timing of any partial clearing, while lower-probability outcomes would require stronger northerly advection or clearer skies than current guidance supports. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$7,137結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for NYC's lowest temperature on August 12 centers on 72–75°F because National Weather Service and model guidance show a persistent warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F suppressing nighttime radiational cooling. Southerly flow, elevated cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and the urban heat island effect keep minimums well above the early-August Central Park climatological average of 68–70°F. The near-even split between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins reflects minor differences in forecast wind speeds and timing of any partial clearing, while lower-probability outcomes would require stronger northerly advection or clearer skies than current guidance supports. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,137結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTrader consensus for NYC's lowest temperature on August 12 centers on 72–75°F because National Weather Service and model guidance show a persistent warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F suppressing nighttime radiational cooling. Southerly flow, elevated cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and the urban heat island effect keep minimums well above the early-August Central Park climatological average of 68–70°F. The near-even split between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins reflects minor differences in forecast wind speeds and timing of any partial clearing, while lower-probability outcomes would require stronger northerly advection or clearer skies than current guidance supports. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions