Chongqing’s August peak-heat conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat-island effects, underpin trader focus on a 35–36 °C maximum for August 15. Official short-range guidance and ensemble models currently cluster daily highs near 34–36 °C, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, possible scattered convection, and exact steering flow. Historical mid-August averages of 33–35 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture or brief clear spells can shift the observed peak by 1–2 °C. With 35 °C and 36 °C holding nearly equal market-implied odds, traders are pricing the narrow but genuine range between model consensus and local measurement thresholds. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and any late intensification of the western Pacific subtropical ridge remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日重慶氣溫最高？
8月15日重慶氣溫最高？
36°C 50%
35°C 26%
37°C 20%
34°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
32°C or below
4%
33°C
11%
34°C
13%
35°C
26%
36°C
38%
37°C
20%
38°C
12%
39°C
8%
40°C
3%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
1%
36°C 50%
35°C 26%
37°C 20%
34°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
32°C or below
$5 交易量
4%
33°C
$0 交易量
11%
34°C
$0 交易量
13%
35°C
$0 交易量
26%
36°C
$2 交易量
38%
37°C
$20 交易量
20%
38°C
$0 交易量
12%
39°C
$0 交易量
8%
40°C
$15 交易量
3%
41°C
$12 交易量
2%
42°C or higher
$12 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing’s August peak-heat conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat-island effects, underpin trader focus on a 35–36 °C maximum for August 15. Official short-range guidance and ensemble models currently cluster daily highs near 34–36 °C, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, possible scattered convection, and exact steering flow. Historical mid-August averages of 33–35 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture or brief clear spells can shift the observed peak by 1–2 °C. With 35 °C and 36 °C holding nearly equal market-implied odds, traders are pricing the narrow but genuine range between model consensus and local measurement thresholds. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and any late intensification of the western Pacific subtropical ridge remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$66結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing’s August peak-heat conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat-island effects, underpin trader focus on a 35–36 °C maximum for August 15. Official short-range guidance and ensemble models currently cluster daily highs near 34–36 °C, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, possible scattered convection, and exact steering flow. Historical mid-August averages of 33–35 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture or brief clear spells can shift the observed peak by 1–2 °C. With 35 °C and 36 °C holding nearly equal market-implied odds, traders are pricing the narrow but genuine range between model consensus and local measurement thresholds. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and any late intensification of the western Pacific subtropical ridge remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$66結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETChongqing’s August peak-heat conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat-island effects, underpin trader focus on a 35–36 °C maximum for August 15. Official short-range guidance and ensemble models currently cluster daily highs near 34–36 °C, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, possible scattered convection, and exact steering flow. Historical mid-August averages of 33–35 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture or brief clear spells can shift the observed peak by 1–2 °C. With 35 °C and 36 °C holding nearly equal market-implied odds, traders are pricing the narrow but genuine range between model consensus and local measurement thresholds. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and any late intensification of the western Pacific subtropical ridge remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions