Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and UCLA Atmospheric Sciences indicate a high near 78°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) for August 12, 2026, with a normal maximum of 76°F and persistent marine layer influence. Early morning low clouds and patchy fog are expected to give way to mostly sunny skies, limiting afternoon heating while sea breezes and the Pacific marine layer cap temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s. This coastal moderation, typical for mid-August, keeps extremes unlikely and explains the tight market split between 76-77°F (52.5% implied) and 78-79°F (44.0%), as traders weigh exact clearing timing and any high-cloud effects on solar insolation. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from climatology, with low odds on warmer bins reflecting stable onshore flow rather than heat-wave conditions seen earlier in the season.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月12日的最高溫度?
76-77°F 50%
78-79°F 44%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 2.3%
$24,974 交易量
$24,974 交易量
華氏67度或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 50%
78-79°F 44%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 2.3%
$24,974 交易量
$24,974 交易量
華氏67度或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and UCLA Atmospheric Sciences indicate a high near 78°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) for August 12, 2026, with a normal maximum of 76°F and persistent marine layer influence. Early morning low clouds and patchy fog are expected to give way to mostly sunny skies, limiting afternoon heating while sea breezes and the Pacific marine layer cap temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s. This coastal moderation, typical for mid-August, keeps extremes unlikely and explains the tight market split between 76-77°F (52.5% implied) and 78-79°F (44.0%), as traders weigh exact clearing timing and any high-cloud effects on solar insolation. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from climatology, with low odds on warmer bins reflecting stable onshore flow rather than heat-wave conditions seen earlier in the season.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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