**Forecast model spreads and near-term synoptic conditions are keeping the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15 tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and fresh northeasterly breezes, while other ensembles allow brief warming to 26–28°C depending on the timing and strength of the sea breeze across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea. These small differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, 10-meter wind speeds, and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating. With August climatology favoring highs near 28°C but current patterns introducing cooler marine air, traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the final model runs and observational updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月15日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
26°C 49%
25°C 42%
24°C 8%
27°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
22°C or below
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
42%
26°C
49%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 49%
25°C 42%
24°C 8%
27°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
22°C or below
$46 交易量
4%
23°C
$12 交易量
2%
24°C
$179 交易量
8%
25°C
$39 交易量
42%
26°C
$22 交易量
49%
27°C
$0 交易量
7%
28°C
$0 交易量
5%
29°C
$9 交易量
7%
30°C
$12 交易量
3%
31°C
$12 交易量
3%
32°C or higher
$12 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spreads and near-term synoptic conditions are keeping the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15 tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and fresh northeasterly breezes, while other ensembles allow brief warming to 26–28°C depending on the timing and strength of the sea breeze across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea.
These small differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, 10-meter wind speeds, and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating. With August climatology favoring highs near 28°C but current patterns introducing cooler marine air, traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the final model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$343結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spreads and near-term synoptic conditions are keeping the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15 tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and fresh northeasterly breezes, while other ensembles allow brief warming to 26–28°C depending on the timing and strength of the sea breeze across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea.
These small differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, 10-meter wind speeds, and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating. With August climatology favoring highs near 28°C but current patterns introducing cooler marine air, traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the final model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$343結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model spreads and near-term synoptic conditions are keeping the highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15 tightly contested between 25°C and 26°C.** Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and fresh northeasterly breezes, while other ensembles allow brief warming to 26–28°C depending on the timing and strength of the sea breeze across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea. These small differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, 10-meter wind speeds, and cloud cover that modulate daytime heating. With August climatology favoring highs near 28°C but current patterns introducing cooler marine air, traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of the final model runs and observational updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions