Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 27°C in London on August 16 amid post-heatwave cooling from Atlantic frontal systems, with model runs showing variable cloud and light winds that could cap peaks near 25–26°C or allow brief spikes higher. Ensemble forecasts highlight uncertainty in exact daytime maxima due to timing of any showers and urban heat-island amplification, consistent with historical mid-August variability around the 21–23°C climatological baseline. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25–27°C outcomes because official short-range guidance and recent model consensus cluster in that narrow range, with limited upside risk from lingering warmth. Updated NWP runs and Met Office briefings ahead of the weekend remain key variables for the final daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月16日倫敦的最高溫度？
25°C 27%
26°C 26%
27°C 21%
24°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
23°C or below
12%
24°C
16%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
21%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
25°C 27%
26°C 26%
27°C 21%
24°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
23°C or below
$467 交易量
12%
24°C
$66 交易量
16%
25°C
$526 交易量
27%
26°C
$63 交易量
26%
27°C
$48 交易量
21%
28°C
$36 交易量
5%
29°C
$34 交易量
9%
30°C
$5 交易量
7%
31°C
$5 交易量
2%
32°C
$10 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 27°C in London on August 16 amid post-heatwave cooling from Atlantic frontal systems, with model runs showing variable cloud and light winds that could cap peaks near 25–26°C or allow brief spikes higher. Ensemble forecasts highlight uncertainty in exact daytime maxima due to timing of any showers and urban heat-island amplification, consistent with historical mid-August variability around the 21–23°C climatological baseline. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25–27°C outcomes because official short-range guidance and recent model consensus cluster in that narrow range, with limited upside risk from lingering warmth. Updated NWP runs and Met Office briefings ahead of the weekend remain key variables for the final daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,270結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 27°C in London on August 16 amid post-heatwave cooling from Atlantic frontal systems, with model runs showing variable cloud and light winds that could cap peaks near 25–26°C or allow brief spikes higher. Ensemble forecasts highlight uncertainty in exact daytime maxima due to timing of any showers and urban heat-island amplification, consistent with historical mid-August variability around the 21–23°C climatological baseline. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25–27°C outcomes because official short-range guidance and recent model consensus cluster in that narrow range, with limited upside risk from lingering warmth. Updated NWP runs and Met Office briefings ahead of the weekend remain key variables for the final daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,270結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 27°C in London on August 16 amid post-heatwave cooling from Atlantic frontal systems, with model runs showing variable cloud and light winds that could cap peaks near 25–26°C or allow brief spikes higher. Ensemble forecasts highlight uncertainty in exact daytime maxima due to timing of any showers and urban heat-island amplification, consistent with historical mid-August variability around the 21–23°C climatological baseline. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25–27°C outcomes because official short-range guidance and recent model consensus cluster in that narrow range, with limited upside risk from lingering warmth. Updated NWP runs and Met Office briefings ahead of the weekend remain key variables for the final daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions