Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderate onshore flow and marine layer influence will cap daytime highs near downtown Los Angeles at 76–77 °F on August 14. Persistent southwesterly winds at 4–8 mph, combined with typical August coastal stratus clearing by midday, support this narrow range rather than hotter interior valley conditions. No significant upper-level ridge or offshore wind event has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities toward the 78–79 °F bin. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs of 83–85 °F, yet the current setup aligns with cooler coastal anomalies observed earlier this week. Updated model runs and any marine layer adjustments expected overnight will be the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月14日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯8月14日的最高溫度？
76-77°F 57%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
57%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
華氏84度或更高
<1%
76-77°F 57%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
65°F或以下
$146 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$134 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$312 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$548 交易量
3%
72-73°F
$951 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$695 交易量
31%
76-77°F
$2,433 交易量
57%
78-79°F
$610 交易量
7%
80-81°F
$350 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$232 交易量
1%
華氏84度或更高
$360 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderate onshore flow and marine layer influence will cap daytime highs near downtown Los Angeles at 76–77 °F on August 14. Persistent southwesterly winds at 4–8 mph, combined with typical August coastal stratus clearing by midday, support this narrow range rather than hotter interior valley conditions. No significant upper-level ridge or offshore wind event has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities toward the 78–79 °F bin. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs of 83–85 °F, yet the current setup aligns with cooler coastal anomalies observed earlier this week. Updated model runs and any marine layer adjustments expected overnight will be the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$6,770結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderate onshore flow and marine layer influence will cap daytime highs near downtown Los Angeles at 76–77 °F on August 14. Persistent southwesterly winds at 4–8 mph, combined with typical August coastal stratus clearing by midday, support this narrow range rather than hotter interior valley conditions. No significant upper-level ridge or offshore wind event has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities toward the 78–79 °F bin. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs of 83–85 °F, yet the current setup aligns with cooler coastal anomalies observed earlier this week. Updated model runs and any marine layer adjustments expected overnight will be the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,770結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderate onshore flow and marine layer influence will cap daytime highs near downtown Los Angeles at 76–77 °F on August 14. Persistent southwesterly winds at 4–8 mph, combined with typical August coastal stratus clearing by midday, support this narrow range rather than hotter interior valley conditions. No significant upper-level ridge or offshore wind event has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities toward the 78–79 °F bin. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs of 83–85 °F, yet the current setup aligns with cooler coastal anomalies observed earlier this week. Updated model runs and any marine layer adjustments expected overnight will be the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions