Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave drives the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 17–18°C for Paris’s August 17 minimum, with 16°C or below at 18.5%. Official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models project overnight lows near 15–16°C under clearing skies and light northerly winds that enhance radiative cooling, yet lingering afternoon cloud cover or a slightly warmer boundary layer could lift the minimum into the upper teens. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline from recent warm anomalies adds uncertainty; traders weigh the latest 48-hour model runs against potential revisions from the next high-resolution update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日巴黎最低溫度？
8月17日巴黎最低溫度？
18°C 30%
17°C 29%
16°C或以下 19%
19°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C或以下
19%
17°C
29%
18°C
30%
19°C
11%
20°C
11%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
1%
18°C 30%
17°C 29%
16°C或以下 19%
19°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
19%
17°C
$0 交易量
29%
18°C
$0 交易量
30%
19°C
$41 交易量
11%
20°C
$0 交易量
11%
21°C
$0 交易量
7%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
5%
24°C
$5 交易量
5%
25°C
$5 交易量
1%
26°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave drives the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 17–18°C for Paris’s August 17 minimum, with 16°C or below at 18.5%. Official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models project overnight lows near 15–16°C under clearing skies and light northerly winds that enhance radiative cooling, yet lingering afternoon cloud cover or a slightly warmer boundary layer could lift the minimum into the upper teens. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline from recent warm anomalies adds uncertainty; traders weigh the latest 48-hour model runs against potential revisions from the next high-resolution update.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$56結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave drives the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 17–18°C for Paris’s August 17 minimum, with 16°C or below at 18.5%. Official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models project overnight lows near 15–16°C under clearing skies and light northerly winds that enhance radiative cooling, yet lingering afternoon cloud cover or a slightly warmer boundary layer could lift the minimum into the upper teens. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline from recent warm anomalies adds uncertainty; traders weigh the latest 48-hour model runs against potential revisions from the next high-resolution update.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$56結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent cooling after a mid-August heatwave drives the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around 17–18°C for Paris’s August 17 minimum, with 16°C or below at 18.5%. Official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models project overnight lows near 15–16°C under clearing skies and light northerly winds that enhance radiative cooling, yet lingering afternoon cloud cover or a slightly warmer boundary layer could lift the minimum into the upper teens. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline from recent warm anomalies adds uncertainty; traders weigh the latest 48-hour model runs against potential revisions from the next high-resolution update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions