**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a maximum of 32°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation.** This aligns with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) but follows a recent heatwave that produced extreme peaks earlier in the month before gradual moderation from increased cloud cover and moisture. Trader positioning favoring 29–31°C over the official 32°C forecast likely reflects model consensus on afternoon cloud build-up and sea-breeze moderation at coastal Incheon limiting peak solar heating, alongside post-heatwave cooling trends. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations on August 15 that could shift resolution toward the 30–31°C band if showers or thicker cloud cover materialize as projected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月15日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
30°C 29%
31°C 26%
29°C 23%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
23%
30°C
29%
31°C
26%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 29%
31°C 26%
29°C 23%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
24°C or below
$379 交易量
<1%
25°C
$133 交易量
<1%
26°C
$22 交易量
3%
27°C
$20 交易量
3%
28°C
$10 交易量
9%
29°C
$60 交易量
23%
30°C
$90 交易量
29%
31°C
$26 交易量
26%
32°C
$11 交易量
7%
33°C
$17 交易量
4%
34°C or higher
$26 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a maximum of 32°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation.** This aligns with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) but follows a recent heatwave that produced extreme peaks earlier in the month before gradual moderation from increased cloud cover and moisture.
Trader positioning favoring 29–31°C over the official 32°C forecast likely reflects model consensus on afternoon cloud build-up and sea-breeze moderation at coastal Incheon limiting peak solar heating, alongside post-heatwave cooling trends. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations on August 15 that could shift resolution toward the 30–31°C band if showers or thicker cloud cover materialize as projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$795結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a maximum of 32°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation.** This aligns with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) but follows a recent heatwave that produced extreme peaks earlier in the month before gradual moderation from increased cloud cover and moisture.
Trader positioning favoring 29–31°C over the official 32°C forecast likely reflects model consensus on afternoon cloud build-up and sea-breeze moderation at coastal Incheon limiting peak solar heating, alongside post-heatwave cooling trends. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations on August 15 that could shift resolution toward the 30–31°C band if showers or thicker cloud cover materialize as projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$795結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a maximum of 32°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation.** This aligns with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) but follows a recent heatwave that produced extreme peaks earlier in the month before gradual moderation from increased cloud cover and moisture. Trader positioning favoring 29–31°C over the official 32°C forecast likely reflects model consensus on afternoon cloud build-up and sea-breeze moderation at coastal Incheon limiting peak solar heating, alongside post-heatwave cooling trends. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations on August 15 that could shift resolution toward the 30–31°C band if showers or thicker cloud cover materialize as projected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions