National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami on August 15 point to a daily maximum near 92°F under typical late-summer conditions, anchoring the 55.5% market-implied probability on the 92-93°F bin. Mid-August climatology shows normal highs of 90-91°F at Miami International Airport, with sea-breeze effects and afternoon convection often capping peaks unless clear skies and light southerly flow allow brief excursions higher. Recent runs align closely with this range, consistent with the prior day's observed 92°F, while lower-probability bins (94°F+) reflect limited upside from model spread and higher bins remain suppressed by historical rarity of 96°F+ readings. Official NWS observations will resolve the market once the 24-hour period closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 56%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或更高
2%
92-93°F 56%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或更高
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami on August 15 point to a daily maximum near 92°F under typical late-summer conditions, anchoring the 55.5% market-implied probability on the 92-93°F bin. Mid-August climatology shows normal highs of 90-91°F at Miami International Airport, with sea-breeze effects and afternoon convection often capping peaks unless clear skies and light southerly flow allow brief excursions higher. Recent runs align closely with this range, consistent with the prior day's observed 92°F, while lower-probability bins (94°F+) reflect limited upside from model spread and higher bins remain suppressed by historical rarity of 96°F+ readings. Official NWS observations will resolve the market once the 24-hour period closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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