Forecast models from NOAA and private services indicate Miami highs of 90–93°F on August 14 under typical subtropical summer patterns, with moderate easterly flow, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and sea-breeze moderation keeping peaks from climbing higher. Recent observations show consecutive days near 94°F, yet updated guidance trims the extreme tail risk, aligning trader consensus on the 92–93°F bin at 62.5% implied probability. Historical August climatology places normal maxima near 88–91°F, and current steering patterns plus model consensus limit upside to brief spikes near 95°F, reflected in the secondary 21% weighting on 94–95°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 63%
94-95°F 21%
90-91°F 15%
96-97°F 2.1%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
63%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 63%
94-95°F 21%
90-91°F 15%
96-97°F 2.1%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
63%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from NOAA and private services indicate Miami highs of 90–93°F on August 14 under typical subtropical summer patterns, with moderate easterly flow, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and sea-breeze moderation keeping peaks from climbing higher. Recent observations show consecutive days near 94°F, yet updated guidance trims the extreme tail risk, aligning trader consensus on the 92–93°F bin at 62.5% implied probability. Historical August climatology places normal maxima near 88–91°F, and current steering patterns plus model consensus limit upside to brief spikes near 95°F, reflected in the secondary 21% weighting on 94–95°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions