Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance for Miami points to a high near 90–92°F on August 13 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and typical summer humidity. This consensus drives the 56.5% market weighting on 92–93°F, reflecting the narrow historical window for mid-August maxima in subtropical South Florida, where sea-breeze moderation and afternoon convection usually cap readings around the low 90s. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have kept actual highs within 1–2°F of climatological averages, limiting upside risk to the 27.5% odds on 94–95°F. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 4%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
華氏100度或更高
1%
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 4%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
華氏100度或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance for Miami points to a high near 90–92°F on August 13 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and typical summer humidity. This consensus drives the 56.5% market weighting on 92–93°F, reflecting the narrow historical window for mid-August maxima in subtropical South Florida, where sea-breeze moderation and afternoon convection usually cap readings around the low 90s. Recent stable high-pressure patterns have kept actual highs within 1–2°F of climatological averages, limiting upside risk to the 27.5% odds on 94–95°F. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions