Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月12日邁阿密的最高溫度？
92-93°F 66%
94-95°F 32%
90-91°F 3%
96-97°F 2%
最新
$14,118 交易量
最新
$14,118 交易量
2026-08-12
83°F或以下
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
66%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100-101度
<1%
華氏102度或以上
<1%
92-93°F 66%
94-95°F 32%
90-91°F 3%
96-97°F 2%
最新
$14,118 交易量
最新
$14,118 交易量
2026-08-12
83°F或以下
$702 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$959 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$615 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$1,247 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$1,261 交易量
3%
92-93°F
$3,766 交易量
66%
94-95°F
$3,318 交易量
32%
96-97°F
$1,132 交易量
2%
98-99°F
$338 交易量
<1%
華氏100-101度
$463 交易量
<1%
華氏102度或以上
$318 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$14,118結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,118結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions