Forecast models from NOAA and other ensembles indicate Houston's August 15 peak temperature will likely fall in the mid- to upper-90s°F amid typical late-summer high pressure, abundant Gulf moisture, and strong daytime heating. Trader balance between the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins reflects small but meaningful differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can limit insolation and cap maximum readings by 1–3°F. Sea-breeze fronts and isolated thunderstorms may further modulate boundary-layer mixing, while climatological baselines show August averages near 95°F with occasional pushes above 98°F under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model runs and NHC guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月15日休斯敦的最高溫度？
96-97°F 38%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 12%
92-93°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
85°F或以下
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
38%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 38%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 12%
92-93°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
85°F或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$150 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$80 交易量
4%
92-93°F
$87 交易量
8%
94-95°F
$17 交易量
34%
96-97°F
$1,056 交易量
38%
98-99°F
$245 交易量
12%
100-101°F
$43 交易量
3%
102-103°F
$227 交易量
<1%
104°F或更高
$223 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other ensembles indicate Houston's August 15 peak temperature will likely fall in the mid- to upper-90s°F amid typical late-summer high pressure, abundant Gulf moisture, and strong daytime heating. Trader balance between the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins reflects small but meaningful differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can limit insolation and cap maximum readings by 1–3°F. Sea-breeze fronts and isolated thunderstorms may further modulate boundary-layer mixing, while climatological baselines show August averages near 95°F with occasional pushes above 98°F under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model runs and NHC guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$2,120結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other ensembles indicate Houston's August 15 peak temperature will likely fall in the mid- to upper-90s°F amid typical late-summer high pressure, abundant Gulf moisture, and strong daytime heating. Trader balance between the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins reflects small but meaningful differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can limit insolation and cap maximum readings by 1–3°F. Sea-breeze fronts and isolated thunderstorms may further modulate boundary-layer mixing, while climatological baselines show August averages near 95°F with occasional pushes above 98°F under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model runs and NHC guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,120結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETForecast models from NOAA and other ensembles indicate Houston's August 15 peak temperature will likely fall in the mid- to upper-90s°F amid typical late-summer high pressure, abundant Gulf moisture, and strong daytime heating. Trader balance between the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins reflects small but meaningful differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can limit insolation and cap maximum readings by 1–3°F. Sea-breeze fronts and isolated thunderstorms may further modulate boundary-layer mixing, while climatological baselines show August averages near 95°F with occasional pushes above 98°F under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model runs and NHC guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions