Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Seoul/Incheon for August 16, supporting daytime maxima clustered around 28–30 °C and positioning 29 °C as the leading market outcome. These conditions follow an early-August heatwave that pushed regional highs above 37 °C but are now moderating toward climatological norms for mid-August, when typical peaks range 30–33 °C before any convective cooling or increased humidity. Global model consensus reinforces modest instability and 20 % precipitation chances that limit further warming, while official station baselines confirm the implied probabilities reflect observed stabilization rather than extreme outliers. Updated KMA and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月16日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
29°C 39%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
22%
29°C
39%
30°C
21%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
4%
29°C 39%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
22°C or below
$198 交易量
<1%
23°C
$63 交易量
<1%
24°C
$12 交易量
<1%
25°C
$12 交易量
<1%
26°C
$125 交易量
3%
27°C
$235 交易量
9%
28°C
$263 交易量
22%
29°C
$1,242 交易量
39%
30°C
$666 交易量
21%
31°C
$304 交易量
6%
32°C or higher
$736 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Seoul/Incheon for August 16, supporting daytime maxima clustered around 28–30 °C and positioning 29 °C as the leading market outcome. These conditions follow an early-August heatwave that pushed regional highs above 37 °C but are now moderating toward climatological norms for mid-August, when typical peaks range 30–33 °C before any convective cooling or increased humidity. Global model consensus reinforces modest instability and 20 % precipitation chances that limit further warming, while official station baselines confirm the implied probabilities reflect observed stabilization rather than extreme outliers. Updated KMA and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,854結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Seoul/Incheon for August 16, supporting daytime maxima clustered around 28–30 °C and positioning 29 °C as the leading market outcome. These conditions follow an early-August heatwave that pushed regional highs above 37 °C but are now moderating toward climatological norms for mid-August, when typical peaks range 30–33 °C before any convective cooling or increased humidity. Global model consensus reinforces modest instability and 20 % precipitation chances that limit further warming, while official station baselines confirm the implied probabilities reflect observed stabilization rather than extreme outliers. Updated KMA and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,854結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Seoul/Incheon for August 16, supporting daytime maxima clustered around 28–30 °C and positioning 29 °C as the leading market outcome. These conditions follow an early-August heatwave that pushed regional highs above 37 °C but are now moderating toward climatological norms for mid-August, when typical peaks range 30–33 °C before any convective cooling or increased humidity. Global model consensus reinforces modest instability and 20 % precipitation chances that limit further warming, while official station baselines confirm the implied probabilities reflect observed stabilization rather than extreme outliers. Updated KMA and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions