Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 9 point to a minimum temperature near 18°C under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–32°C. Numerical models show modest spread around this value due to subtle variations in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical early-August minima averaging near 14–15°C but recent warming trends elevating baselines. Traders assign the highest implied probability (40%) to 17°C because ensemble guidance includes scenarios for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm, while 16°C and 18°C capture the next most likely outcomes; probabilities drop sharply outside 15–19°C as current observations and short-range runs show little support for extremes. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing shifts before resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月9日倫敦的最低溫度？
17°C 39%
16°C 23%
18°C 19%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
12°C或以下
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
23%
17°C
39%
18°C
19%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C或以上
<1%
17°C 39%
16°C 23%
18°C 19%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
12°C或以下
$5 交易量
4%
13°C
$5 交易量
4%
14°C
$20 交易量
3%
15°C
$10 交易量
5%
16°C
$362 交易量
23%
17°C
$838 交易量
39%
18°C
$20 交易量
19%
19°C
$31 交易量
12%
20°C
$10 交易量
5%
21°C
$17 交易量
6%
22°C或以上
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 9 point to a minimum temperature near 18°C under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–32°C. Numerical models show modest spread around this value due to subtle variations in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical early-August minima averaging near 14–15°C but recent warming trends elevating baselines. Traders assign the highest implied probability (40%) to 17°C because ensemble guidance includes scenarios for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm, while 16°C and 18°C capture the next most likely outcomes; probabilities drop sharply outside 15–19°C as current observations and short-range runs show little support for extremes. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing shifts before resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,329結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 9 point to a minimum temperature near 18°C under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–32°C. Numerical models show modest spread around this value due to subtle variations in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical early-August minima averaging near 14–15°C but recent warming trends elevating baselines. Traders assign the highest implied probability (40%) to 17°C because ensemble guidance includes scenarios for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm, while 16°C and 18°C capture the next most likely outcomes; probabilities drop sharply outside 15–19°C as current observations and short-range runs show little support for extremes. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing shifts before resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,329結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts for London on August 9 point to a minimum temperature near 18°C under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–32°C. Numerical models show modest spread around this value due to subtle variations in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical early-August minima averaging near 14–15°C but recent warming trends elevating baselines. Traders assign the highest implied probability (40%) to 17°C because ensemble guidance includes scenarios for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm, while 16°C and 18°C capture the next most likely outcomes; probabilities drop sharply outside 15–19°C as current observations and short-range runs show little support for extremes. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing shifts before resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions