Recent forecast guidance for Shanghai on August 7 points to peak temperatures near 33–34°C, with the tight market split reflecting uncertainty in daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Key differentiators include surface solar insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-afternoon convective clouds or light rain that could cap the maximum; urban heat-island effects from the Yangtze Delta may add 1–2°C locally. Current model consensus from regional agencies shows limited day-to-day variability, with historical August extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent strong high-pressure subsidence. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings will likely resolve the narrow gap before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日上海最高溫度？
8月7日上海最高溫度？
34°C 41%
33°C 40%
35°C 13%
32°C 8%
最新
$21,488 交易量
最新
$21,488 交易量
2026-08-07
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
40%
34°C
41%
35°C
13%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 40%
35°C 13%
32°C 8%
最新
$21,488 交易量
最新
$21,488 交易量
2026-08-07
28°C or below
$661 交易量
<1%
29°C
$321 交易量
<1%
30°C
$893 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,046 交易量
3%
32°C
$2,476 交易量
8%
33°C
$4,318 交易量
40%
34°C
$3,478 交易量
41%
35°C
$4,908 交易量
13%
36°C
$1,888 交易量
3%
37°C
$967 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$761 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Shanghai on August 7 points to peak temperatures near 33–34°C, with the tight market split reflecting uncertainty in daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Key differentiators include surface solar insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-afternoon convective clouds or light rain that could cap the maximum; urban heat-island effects from the Yangtze Delta may add 1–2°C locally. Current model consensus from regional agencies shows limited day-to-day variability, with historical August extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent strong high-pressure subsidence. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings will likely resolve the narrow gap before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$21,488結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Shanghai on August 7 points to peak temperatures near 33–34°C, with the tight market split reflecting uncertainty in daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Key differentiators include surface solar insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-afternoon convective clouds or light rain that could cap the maximum; urban heat-island effects from the Yangtze Delta may add 1–2°C locally. Current model consensus from regional agencies shows limited day-to-day variability, with historical August extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent strong high-pressure subsidence. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings will likely resolve the narrow gap before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,488結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast guidance for Shanghai on August 7 points to peak temperatures near 33–34°C, with the tight market split reflecting uncertainty in daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Key differentiators include surface solar insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-afternoon convective clouds or light rain that could cap the maximum; urban heat-island effects from the Yangtze Delta may add 1–2°C locally. Current model consensus from regional agencies shows limited day-to-day variability, with historical August extremes rarely exceeding 35°C absent strong high-pressure subsidence. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings will likely resolve the narrow gap before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions