Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月8日倫敦的最高溫度？
27°C 38%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
18%
27°C
38%
28°C
29%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 38%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
23°C or below
$10 交易量
<1%
24°C
$10 交易量
1%
25°C
$189 交易量
8%
26°C
$60 交易量
18%
27°C
$455 交易量
38%
28°C
$24 交易量
29%
29°C
$28 交易量
8%
30°C
$4 交易量
8%
31°C
$10 交易量
1%
32°C
$77 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$50 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$917結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$917結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 28°C in London on August 8 under predominantly sunny intervals, light westerly winds, and building high pressure that favors modest warming. This outlook aligns with a short-term warming trend after cooler early-August conditions near 22–23°C, pushing readings several degrees above the seasonal average high of roughly 23°C while remaining well short of heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27–28°C, reflecting limited spread in deterministic and probabilistic runs, though minor shifts could arise from updated steering patterns or cloud cover in the next 48-hour forecast cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions