Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a peak of 25–26°C in London on August 7 under building high pressure, with light winds and mostly clear skies favoring modest daytime heating. This places the outcome near the long-term early-August average while reflecting limited moisture and weak advection of warmer air from the continent. Small differences in forecast cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 25°C and 26°C contracts; any increase in afternoon cumulus or a slightly stronger sea breeze could cap readings at the lower end. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final signal ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月7日倫敦的最高溫度？
26°C 40%
25°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
最新
$10,533 交易量
最新
$10,533 交易量
2026-08-07
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
37%
26°C
40%
27°C
13%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
最新
$10,533 交易量
最新
$10,533 交易量
2026-08-07
22°C or below
$1,117 交易量
1%
23°C
$601 交易量
3%
24°C
$1,002 交易量
11%
25°C
$2,387 交易量
37%
26°C
$1,834 交易量
40%
27°C
$969 交易量
13%
28°C
$964 交易量
3%
29°C
$237 交易量
<1%
30°C
$309 交易量
<1%
31°C
$557 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$557 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a peak of 25–26°C in London on August 7 under building high pressure, with light winds and mostly clear skies favoring modest daytime heating. This places the outcome near the long-term early-August average while reflecting limited moisture and weak advection of warmer air from the continent. Small differences in forecast cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 25°C and 26°C contracts; any increase in afternoon cumulus or a slightly stronger sea breeze could cap readings at the lower end. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$10,533結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a peak of 25–26°C in London on August 7 under building high pressure, with light winds and mostly clear skies favoring modest daytime heating. This places the outcome near the long-term early-August average while reflecting limited moisture and weak advection of warmer air from the continent. Small differences in forecast cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 25°C and 26°C contracts; any increase in afternoon cumulus or a slightly stronger sea breeze could cap readings at the lower end. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,533結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a peak of 25–26°C in London on August 7 under building high pressure, with light winds and mostly clear skies favoring modest daytime heating. This places the outcome near the long-term early-August average while reflecting limited moisture and weak advection of warmer air from the continent. Small differences in forecast cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between the 25°C and 26°C contracts; any increase in afternoon cumulus or a slightly stronger sea breeze could cap readings at the lower end. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final signal ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions