Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates London overnight lows of 14–15°C on August 7 under mild high-pressure influence with light winds and limited cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Radiative cooling rates overnight, modulated by urban heat island effects and any residual moisture from prior days, create the narrow differentiation, as clearer skies could dip readings toward 14°C while slight increases in humidity or breeze support 15°C. Historical August minima average near 13°C, but current model consensus favors slightly above-normal values amid the broader warming trend. Traders will monitor final model runs and real-time observations for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日倫敦的最低溫度?
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
13°C 12%
16°C 7%
$11,402 交易量
$11,402 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
12%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
13°C 12%
16°C 7%
$11,402 交易量
$11,402 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
12%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicates London overnight lows of 14–15°C on August 7 under mild high-pressure influence with light winds and limited cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Radiative cooling rates overnight, modulated by urban heat island effects and any residual moisture from prior days, create the narrow differentiation, as clearer skies could dip readings toward 14°C while slight increases in humidity or breeze support 15°C. Historical August minima average near 13°C, but current model consensus favors slightly above-normal values amid the broader warming trend. Traders will monitor final model runs and real-time observations for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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