Ongoing severe heatwave conditions driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system dominate South Korea, with clear skies, light winds, and high solar insolation supporting elevated daytime maxima across the Seoul-Incheon metro area. Recent national records, including 42.5°C in Yangsan on August 2, underscore the anomalous warmth, while AccuWeather guidance indicates highs near 36–38°C (97–99°F) for early August dates amid widespread KMA heatwave warnings. Model consensus favors peak temperatures clustering around 34–36°C on August 6, with limited precipitation or frontal passage expected to moderate readings. These factors underpin trader consensus around the 34–36°C band, though slight forecast revisions in steering flow or cloud cover could shift outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
35°C 39%
34°C 26%
36°C 18%
33°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
26%
35°C
39%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
7%
35°C 39%
34°C 26%
36°C 18%
33°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
26%
35°C
39%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing severe heatwave conditions driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system dominate South Korea, with clear skies, light winds, and high solar insolation supporting elevated daytime maxima across the Seoul-Incheon metro area. Recent national records, including 42.5°C in Yangsan on August 2, underscore the anomalous warmth, while AccuWeather guidance indicates highs near 36–38°C (97–99°F) for early August dates amid widespread KMA heatwave warnings. Model consensus favors peak temperatures clustering around 34–36°C on August 6, with limited precipitation or frontal passage expected to moderate readings. These factors underpin trader consensus around the 34–36°C band, though slight forecast revisions in steering flow or cloud cover could shift outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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