**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 33–35°C because numerical weather models for the Yangtze River basin show comparable support for those maxima on August 6, with only modest differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and steering flow.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate and surrounding mountains typically produce peak August highs near 34°C under clear, subsiding air; recent model runs indicate possible light rain or increased moisture that could cap temperatures at 33–34°C or allow brief clearing to reach 35°C. Historical climatology places early-August averages at 33–34°C, so the narrow spread reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single dominant signal, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日重慶氣溫最高?
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
35°C 23%
32°C 15%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
15%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
23%
36°C
2%
37°C或以上
1%
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
35°C 23%
32°C 15%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
15%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
23%
36°C
2%
37°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 33–35°C because numerical weather models for the Yangtze River basin show comparable support for those maxima on August 6, with only modest differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and steering flow.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate and surrounding mountains typically produce peak August highs near 34°C under clear, subsiding air; recent model runs indicate possible light rain or increased moisture that could cap temperatures at 33–34°C or allow brief clearing to reach 35°C. Historical climatology places early-August averages at 33–34°C, so the narrow spread reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single dominant signal, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour model updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions