Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91°F bins. A persistent warm, humid air mass under weak steering flow favors daytime heating, while scattered afternoon convection and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook for above-normal temperatures across the Northeast provides broader context, though short-term steering patterns and thunderstorm timing remain the dominant variables. Traders appear to view the consensus forecast as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to stronger or weaker heating scenarios.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日紐約市的最高溫度？
8月7日紐約市的最高溫度？
90-91°F 38%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 38%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
81°F or below
$198 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$24 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$35 交易量
3%
86-87°F
$188 交易量
11%
88-89°F
$400 交易量
26%
90-91°F
$927 交易量
38%
92-93°F
$660 交易量
19%
94-95°F
$39 交易量
6%
96-97°F
$44 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$23 交易量
1%
100°F or higher
$42 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91°F bins. A persistent warm, humid air mass under weak steering flow favors daytime heating, while scattered afternoon convection and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook for above-normal temperatures across the Northeast provides broader context, though short-term steering patterns and thunderstorm timing remain the dominant variables. Traders appear to view the consensus forecast as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to stronger or weaker heating scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$2,578結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91°F bins. A persistent warm, humid air mass under weak steering flow favors daytime heating, while scattered afternoon convection and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook for above-normal temperatures across the Northeast provides broader context, though short-term steering patterns and thunderstorm timing remain the dominant variables. Traders appear to view the consensus forecast as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to stronger or weaker heating scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,578結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 90°F in Central Park on August 7, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91°F bins. A persistent warm, humid air mass under weak steering flow favors daytime heating, while scattered afternoon convection and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook for above-normal temperatures across the Northeast provides broader context, though short-term steering patterns and thunderstorm timing remain the dominant variables. Traders appear to view the consensus forecast as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to stronger or weaker heating scenarios.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions