National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 6 indicate a maximum temperature near 85–89 °F under partly sunny skies, with heat indices potentially reaching the mid-90s amid elevated dew points. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by timing of afternoon convection and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 2–4 °F. Recent upper-air patterns and surface observations align with climatological August norms around 85 °F, yet localized steering flow and boundary-layer moisture introduce enough variability to keep the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins nearly equal in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings later today remain key resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日紐約市的最高溫度？
8月6日紐約市的最高溫度？
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 41%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 9%
最新
$22,891 交易量
最新
$22,891 交易量
2026-08-06
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
41%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 41%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 9%
最新
$22,891 交易量
最新
$22,891 交易量
2026-08-06
79°F or below
$386 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,175 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$1,230 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,587 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$2,194 交易量
9%
88-89°F
$3,294 交易量
41%
90-91°F
$3,441 交易量
43%
92-93°F
$2,538 交易量
10%
94-95°F
$2,730 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$3,762 交易量
<1%
98°F or higher
$553 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 6 indicate a maximum temperature near 85–89 °F under partly sunny skies, with heat indices potentially reaching the mid-90s amid elevated dew points. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by timing of afternoon convection and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 2–4 °F. Recent upper-air patterns and surface observations align with climatological August norms around 85 °F, yet localized steering flow and boundary-layer moisture introduce enough variability to keep the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins nearly equal in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings later today remain key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$22,891結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 6 indicate a maximum temperature near 85–89 °F under partly sunny skies, with heat indices potentially reaching the mid-90s amid elevated dew points. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by timing of afternoon convection and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 2–4 °F. Recent upper-air patterns and surface observations align with climatological August norms around 85 °F, yet localized steering flow and boundary-layer moisture introduce enough variability to keep the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins nearly equal in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings later today remain key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,891結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 6 indicate a maximum temperature near 85–89 °F under partly sunny skies, with heat indices potentially reaching the mid-90s amid elevated dew points. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by timing of afternoon convection and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 2–4 °F. Recent upper-air patterns and surface observations align with climatological August norms around 85 °F, yet localized steering flow and boundary-layer moisture introduce enough variability to keep the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins nearly equal in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings later today remain key resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions