Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates Warsaw's August 8 high will likely peak near 24–25°C amid post-heatwave cooling, following earlier peaks above 35°C driven by a strong high-pressure ridge. Key variables include evolving cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C, with ensemble spreads showing notable probability mass between 22–25°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 23–25°C, providing context for the tight clustering of trader-implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and local station observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日華沙的最高溫度？
8月8日華沙的最高溫度？
23°C 42%
24°C 29%
22°C 22%
21°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
20°C或以下
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
22%
23°C
42%
24°C
29%
25°C
11%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
23°C 42%
24°C 29%
22°C 22%
21°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
20°C或以下
$10 交易量
5%
21°C
$0 交易量
11%
22°C
$7 交易量
22%
23°C
$0 交易量
42%
24°C
$0 交易量
29%
25°C
$0 交易量
11%
26°C
$3 交易量
5%
27°C
$24 交易量
2%
28°C
$10 交易量
2%
29°C
$10 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates Warsaw's August 8 high will likely peak near 24–25°C amid post-heatwave cooling, following earlier peaks above 35°C driven by a strong high-pressure ridge. Key variables include evolving cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C, with ensemble spreads showing notable probability mass between 22–25°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 23–25°C, providing context for the tight clustering of trader-implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and local station observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$74結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates Warsaw's August 8 high will likely peak near 24–25°C amid post-heatwave cooling, following earlier peaks above 35°C driven by a strong high-pressure ridge. Key variables include evolving cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C, with ensemble spreads showing notable probability mass between 22–25°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 23–25°C, providing context for the tight clustering of trader-implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and local station observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$74結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates Warsaw's August 8 high will likely peak near 24–25°C amid post-heatwave cooling, following earlier peaks above 35°C driven by a strong high-pressure ridge. Key variables include evolving cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C, with ensemble spreads showing notable probability mass between 22–25°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 23–25°C, providing context for the tight clustering of trader-implied odds. Updated short-range guidance and local station observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions