Current forecasts from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate daytime highs around 31–34°C for Busan on August 6, 2026, under the influence of the North Pacific High, which sustains warm, humid southerly flow and limits cooling. Sea breezes provide some moderation along the coast, while high humidity supports elevated heat indices. Recent model runs show consistency in this range, though slight upward revisions in ensemble guidance and the potential for localized urban heating or reduced cloud cover could push peaks toward 35–36°C. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 34–36°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of short-term atmospheric stability two days before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日釜山的最高溫度?
35°C 36%
36°C 25%
34°C 25%
33°C 10%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
10%
34°C
25%
35°C
36%
36°C
25%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C或以上
1%
35°C 36%
36°C 25%
34°C 25%
33°C 10%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
10%
34°C
25%
35°C
36%
36°C
25%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate daytime highs around 31–34°C for Busan on August 6, 2026, under the influence of the North Pacific High, which sustains warm, humid southerly flow and limits cooling. Sea breezes provide some moderation along the coast, while high humidity supports elevated heat indices. Recent model runs show consistency in this range, though slight upward revisions in ensemble guidance and the potential for localized urban heating or reduced cloud cover could push peaks toward 35–36°C. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 34–36°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of short-term atmospheric stability two days before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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