An upper-level ridge shifting inland is the main driver lifting implied odds for an 88–91°F high in Seattle on August 5, with National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny skies and highs near 86°F under strengthening offshore flow. Ensemble spread and typical marine-layer variability keep the 86–87°F and 90–91°F bins competitive, while historical early-August averages near 79°F underscore how ridging can add several degrees above climatology. Light north-northeast winds and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of guidance, though any stronger onshore push could cap readings closer to 86°F. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and the warm seasonal outlook that favors above-normal temperatures through mid-month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日西雅圖的最高溫度?
88-89°F 47%
90-91°F 25%
86-87°F 19%
84-85°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
47%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 47%
90-91°F 25%
86-87°F 19%
84-85°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
47%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
An upper-level ridge shifting inland is the main driver lifting implied odds for an 88–91°F high in Seattle on August 5, with National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny skies and highs near 86°F under strengthening offshore flow. Ensemble spread and typical marine-layer variability keep the 86–87°F and 90–91°F bins competitive, while historical early-August averages near 79°F underscore how ridging can add several degrees above climatology. Light north-northeast winds and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of guidance, though any stronger onshore push could cap readings closer to 86°F. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and the warm seasonal outlook that favors above-normal temperatures through mid-month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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