Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 4 point to sunny skies and a high in the low-to-mid 80s under a strong high-pressure ridge, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 84-85°F (48%) and 82-83°F (24.5%). This aligns with broader Pacific Northwest conditions featuring above-average summer temperatures, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit marine influence and support daytime warming. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early August, when highs typically reach the mid-70s, reinforce the elevated range, though slight variations in ridge strength or onshore flow could shift final readings within the favored bins. Updated NWS briefings and observational data through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日西雅圖的最高溫度？
8月4日西雅圖的最高溫度？
84-85°F 48%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 8%
86-87°F 7%
最新
$10,962 交易量
最新
$10,962 交易量
2026-08-04
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
華氏94度或以上
<1%
84-85°F 48%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 8%
86-87°F 7%
最新
$10,962 交易量
最新
$10,962 交易量
2026-08-04
75°F或以下
$406 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$640 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$851 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,981 交易量
8%
82-83°F
$572 交易量
27%
84-85°F
$827 交易量
48%
86-87°F
$2,205 交易量
7%
88-89°F
$1,748 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$515 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$823 交易量
<1%
華氏94度或以上
$393 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 4 point to sunny skies and a high in the low-to-mid 80s under a strong high-pressure ridge, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 84-85°F (48%) and 82-83°F (24.5%). This aligns with broader Pacific Northwest conditions featuring above-average summer temperatures, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit marine influence and support daytime warming. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early August, when highs typically reach the mid-70s, reinforce the elevated range, though slight variations in ridge strength or onshore flow could shift final readings within the favored bins. Updated NWS briefings and observational data through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$10,962結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 4 point to sunny skies and a high in the low-to-mid 80s under a strong high-pressure ridge, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 84-85°F (48%) and 82-83°F (24.5%). This aligns with broader Pacific Northwest conditions featuring above-average summer temperatures, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit marine influence and support daytime warming. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early August, when highs typically reach the mid-70s, reinforce the elevated range, though slight variations in ridge strength or onshore flow could shift final readings within the favored bins. Updated NWS briefings and observational data through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,962結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 4 point to sunny skies and a high in the low-to-mid 80s under a strong high-pressure ridge, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 84-85°F (48%) and 82-83°F (24.5%). This aligns with broader Pacific Northwest conditions featuring above-average summer temperatures, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit marine influence and support daytime warming. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early August, when highs typically reach the mid-70s, reinforce the elevated range, though slight variations in ridge strength or onshore flow could shift final readings within the favored bins. Updated NWS briefings and observational data through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions