Latest numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C in Beijing on August 8, 2026, driving the tight market distribution around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and residual monsoon moisture are expected to limit strong daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover introduce small forecast spreads across ensembles. Recent runs show highs stabilizing after slightly warmer conditions on August 6–7, with minimal precipitation risk that day reducing cooling from evaporation. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations at the standard Beijing station, where even a 1°C model bias can shift probabilities between the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日北京最高溫度？
8月8日北京最高溫度？
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
16%
31°C
26%
32°C
33%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
2%
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
26°C或以下
$10 交易量
1%
27°C
$10 交易量
1%
28°C
$10 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
11%
30°C
$3 交易量
16%
31°C
$27 交易量
26%
32°C
$9 交易量
33%
33°C
$14 交易量
18%
34°C
$0 交易量
5%
35°C
$5 交易量
2%
36°C或以上
$21 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C in Beijing on August 8, 2026, driving the tight market distribution around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and residual monsoon moisture are expected to limit strong daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover introduce small forecast spreads across ensembles. Recent runs show highs stabilizing after slightly warmer conditions on August 6–7, with minimal precipitation risk that day reducing cooling from evaporation. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations at the standard Beijing station, where even a 1°C model bias can shift probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$109結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C in Beijing on August 8, 2026, driving the tight market distribution around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and residual monsoon moisture are expected to limit strong daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover introduce small forecast spreads across ensembles. Recent runs show highs stabilizing after slightly warmer conditions on August 6–7, with minimal precipitation risk that day reducing cooling from evaporation. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations at the standard Beijing station, where even a 1°C model bias can shift probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$109結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest numerical weather models indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C in Beijing on August 8, 2026, driving the tight market distribution around those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and residual monsoon moisture are expected to limit strong daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects and variable cloud cover introduce small forecast spreads across ensembles. Recent runs show highs stabilizing after slightly warmer conditions on August 6–7, with minimal precipitation risk that day reducing cooling from evaporation. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations at the standard Beijing station, where even a 1°C model bias can shift probabilities between the leading bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions