Recent forecast updates from global models show a cooling trend for Shanghai on August 8 driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough, which reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This has narrowed the market-implied range tightly around 32–33°C, reflecting uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Historical climatology places August highs near 31–32°C, but recent heat with peaks near 35–36°C highlights how subtle shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries can differentiate outcomes between these closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日上海最高溫度？
8月8日上海最高溫度？
32°C 35%
33°C 34%
31°C 17%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
17%
32°C
35%
33°C
34%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
32°C 35%
33°C 34%
31°C 17%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
27°C or below
$75 交易量
1%
28°C
$75 交易量
<1%
29°C
$80 交易量
1%
30°C
$723 交易量
9%
31°C
$664 交易量
17%
32°C
$297 交易量
35%
33°C
$151 交易量
34%
34°C
$162 交易量
11%
35°C
$137 交易量
2%
36°C
$16 交易量
2%
37°C or higher
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global models show a cooling trend for Shanghai on August 8 driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough, which reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This has narrowed the market-implied range tightly around 32–33°C, reflecting uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Historical climatology places August highs near 31–32°C, but recent heat with peaks near 35–36°C highlights how subtle shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries can differentiate outcomes between these closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,390結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global models show a cooling trend for Shanghai on August 8 driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough, which reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This has narrowed the market-implied range tightly around 32–33°C, reflecting uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Historical climatology places August highs near 31–32°C, but recent heat with peaks near 35–36°C highlights how subtle shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries can differentiate outcomes between these closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,390結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecast updates from global models show a cooling trend for Shanghai on August 8 driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough, which reduces solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This has narrowed the market-implied range tightly around 32–33°C, reflecting uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions. Historical climatology places August highs near 31–32°C, but recent heat with peaks near 35–36°C highlights how subtle shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries can differentiate outcomes between these closely matched probabilities. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions