Recent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure driving a warming trend across southeast England, with London forecast to reach 32°C on August 9 amid clear skies, light winds, and southerly warm advection. Ensemble models show modest spread around 29–33°C due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any residual cloud cover, while historical August maxima average near 22°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30–32°C reflects this consensus alongside recognition that small forecast adjustments—such as a delayed ridge or localized sea-breeze effects—could shift the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日倫敦的最高溫度?
31°C 34%
30°C 26%
32°C 21%
33°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
26%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 26%
32°C 21%
33°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
26%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure driving a warming trend across southeast England, with London forecast to reach 32°C on August 9 amid clear skies, light winds, and southerly warm advection. Ensemble models show modest spread around 29–33°C due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any residual cloud cover, while historical August maxima average near 22°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30–32°C reflects this consensus alongside recognition that small forecast adjustments—such as a delayed ridge or localized sea-breeze effects—could shift the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions