**A high-pressure system dominating southeastern Brazil has kept recent maxima in São Paulo near or above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C, yet an approaching cold front and associated low-pressure system are projected to increase cloud cover and deliver up to 16 mm of rain across southern and eastern portions of the state on 7 August.** This setup favors suppressed daytime heating and a modest temperature drop relative to the prior several days, when official INMET stations recorded 27 °C highs. Numerical guidance and historical analogs for post-frontal winter days in the region support a most-probable maximum in the low- to mid-20s °C range, with the elevated 45.5 % market-implied probability on 22 °C or below reflecting trader assessment of this cooling influence and associated moisture. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by Brazil’s national meteorological network at the primary São Paulo observing sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日聖保羅的最高溫度?
22°C or below 46%
25°C 12%
24°C 12%
23°C 11%
$15,335 交易量
$15,335 交易量
22°C or below
46%
23°C
11%
24°C
12%
25°C
12%
26°C
10%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 46%
25°C 12%
24°C 12%
23°C 11%
$15,335 交易量
$15,335 交易量
22°C or below
46%
23°C
11%
24°C
12%
25°C
12%
26°C
10%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**A high-pressure system dominating southeastern Brazil has kept recent maxima in São Paulo near or above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C, yet an approaching cold front and associated low-pressure system are projected to increase cloud cover and deliver up to 16 mm of rain across southern and eastern portions of the state on 7 August.** This setup favors suppressed daytime heating and a modest temperature drop relative to the prior several days, when official INMET stations recorded 27 °C highs. Numerical guidance and historical analogs for post-frontal winter days in the region support a most-probable maximum in the low- to mid-20s °C range, with the elevated 45.5 % market-implied probability on 22 °C or below reflecting trader assessment of this cooling influence and associated moisture. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by Brazil’s national meteorological network at the primary São Paulo observing sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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