**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall are the dominant factors capping Lucknow's August 9 maximum near 33°C, the market's leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability.** Peak southwest monsoon activity typically delivers widespread cloudiness and scattered showers across Uttar Pradesh, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime highs relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Climatological August averages for Lucknow hover around 31–34°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department favoring similar values amid ongoing moisture influx. Recent forecasts show light rain or thundery activity possible on the 9th, reinforcing the 32–34°C cluster (collectively over 90% probability). Any unexpected monsoon break could allow a brief spike toward 35°C+, but current steering patterns and humidity make that low-probability; traders will monitor the next IMD bulletin and updated ensemble runs for shifts in precipitation timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
8月9日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
33°C 41%
34°C 30%
32°C 22%
35°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
41%
34°C
30%
35°C
8%
36°C或更高
3%
33°C 41%
34°C 30%
32°C 22%
35°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
26°C或以下
$143 交易量
<1%
27°C
$50 交易量
<1%
28°C
$35 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C
$13 交易量
1%
31°C
$21 交易量
5%
32°C
$50 交易量
22%
33°C
$215 交易量
41%
34°C
$290 交易量
30%
35°C
$79 交易量
8%
36°C或更高
$26 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall are the dominant factors capping Lucknow's August 9 maximum near 33°C, the market's leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability.** Peak southwest monsoon activity typically delivers widespread cloudiness and scattered showers across Uttar Pradesh, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime highs relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Climatological August averages for Lucknow hover around 31–34°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department favoring similar values amid ongoing moisture influx. Recent forecasts show light rain or thundery activity possible on the 9th, reinforcing the 32–34°C cluster (collectively over 90% probability). Any unexpected monsoon break could allow a brief spike toward 35°C+, but current steering patterns and humidity make that low-probability; traders will monitor the next IMD bulletin and updated ensemble runs for shifts in precipitation timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$927結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall are the dominant factors capping Lucknow's August 9 maximum near 33°C, the market's leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability.** Peak southwest monsoon activity typically delivers widespread cloudiness and scattered showers across Uttar Pradesh, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime highs relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Climatological August averages for Lucknow hover around 31–34°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department favoring similar values amid ongoing moisture influx. Recent forecasts show light rain or thundery activity possible on the 9th, reinforcing the 32–34°C cluster (collectively over 90% probability). Any unexpected monsoon break could allow a brief spike toward 35°C+, but current steering patterns and humidity make that low-probability; traders will monitor the next IMD bulletin and updated ensemble runs for shifts in precipitation timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$927結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall are the dominant factors capping Lucknow's August 9 maximum near 33°C, the market's leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability.** Peak southwest monsoon activity typically delivers widespread cloudiness and scattered showers across Uttar Pradesh, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime highs relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Climatological August averages for Lucknow hover around 31–34°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department favoring similar values amid ongoing moisture influx. Recent forecasts show light rain or thundery activity possible on the 9th, reinforcing the 32–34°C cluster (collectively over 90% probability). Any unexpected monsoon break could allow a brief spike toward 35°C+, but current steering patterns and humidity make that low-probability; traders will monitor the next IMD bulletin and updated ensemble runs for shifts in precipitation timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions