Latest India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on August 7 project a maximum temperature of 33°C under generally cloudy skies with light rain, consistent with active southwest monsoon conditions that limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show maxima of 32–33°C on August 5–6 amid similar thundershower activity, aligning with climatological August averages near 31–32°C for the region. Market-implied probabilities clustering on 32–33°C reflect traders’ weighting of these official guidance and monsoon moisture patterns, while acknowledging model spread in rainfall timing that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will provide further resolution ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
33°C 42%
32°C 29%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
29%
33°C
42%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
1%
33°C 42%
32°C 29%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
29%
33°C
42%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on August 7 project a maximum temperature of 33°C under generally cloudy skies with light rain, consistent with active southwest monsoon conditions that limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show maxima of 32–33°C on August 5–6 amid similar thundershower activity, aligning with climatological August averages near 31–32°C for the region. Market-implied probabilities clustering on 32–33°C reflect traders’ weighting of these official guidance and monsoon moisture patterns, while acknowledging model spread in rainfall timing that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will provide further resolution ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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